Week 2 is wrapping tonight, but with Vegas lines out, I'm attempting to think into Week 3 and get a jump on things. Needless to say, Week 2 threw the whole industry of DFS off.....most posted poor performances. Players in bold are value picks. CAPS are premium plays.
WAS @ NYG......NYG -3.....45u
WAS v pass 3......v run 4.....v rec 3
NYG v pass 32......v run 3.....v rec 32
Looks like neither team can be run against. However, NYG can be thrown against.
Cash plays: Garcon, Reed
GPP plays: Cousins, ODB
PIT @ STL......PIT -1.5.....48u
PIT v pass 28........v run 12.........v rec 28
STL v pass 13.......v run 30.........v rec 13
Predictable that PIT has terrible 2ndary. Middling v run. STL isn't known for 2ndary, should be better v run. WAS gashed them for 180+ on ground in week 2. I suspect own% to be high on LBell, but vs #30 run D.....who cares until STL shows better. Bell has high floor and is used in pass game.
Cash plays: Ben, ABROWN, LBELL, MILLER, Bey?
GPP: Wheaton, Bey stacked with Ben!
SDC @ MIN......MIN -1.5.....45.5u
SDC v pass 14.....v run 21.......v rec 14
MIN v pass 12.....v run 24.......v rec 12
AP seems pricey, but is still at top of league. Middling game. Not a lot of excitement. Danny Woodhead has returned 3X value both games this year!
Cash plays: APeterson, Bridgewater, Gordon?, WOODHEAD, Allen
GPP: don't care
TBB @ HOU......HOU -3.5......40u
TBB v pass 16......v run 19......v rec 16
HOU v pass 10......v run 25.....v rec 10
Winston in air is a little scary, but should be able to run effectively early. May need to throw late. Also not an exciting game, especially with low o/u of 40. HOU defense in play at home in low o/u game with ability to rush passer.
Cash plays: Hou DST, DHop, DMartin
GPP: Nothing exciting, maybe Hou DST
PHI @ NYJ.......PHI -2.5.....47.5u
PHI v pass 23......v run 17.......v rec 23
NYJ v pass 17.....v run 14.......v rec 17
Vegas predicts NYJ playing from behind in close game. PHI looks exploitable through air. NYJ couldn't be more average through 2 weeks, even after nice week 1 on DST. Might watch PHI for bounceback after embarrassing week 2.
Cash plays: Fitzpatrick, Marshall, Decker, Ivory?, Bradford, DMurray, JMatthews
GPP: all of above
NOS @ CAR.....CAR -3.5......44u
NOS v pass 18......v run 23..........v rec 18
CAR v pass 7........v run 7............v rec 7
Decent matchup for CAR running game, but do we trust JStew? Decent passing, too, but who? I don't trust any of them outside of GPPs. CAR defense is strong and to be avoided across board this week.
Cash plays: CAR DST, JStewart
GPP: Newton, Olsen, Crotchery, Cooks, Coleman, Colston
JAX @ NEP.....NEP -14.....44u
JAX v pass 20......v run 5......v rec 20
NEP v pass 25.....v run 27.....v rec 25
Fire up JAX offense....lol. Seriously, though, NEP D is not great, and can be targeted.
CIN @ BAL.......BAL -1.5.......44.5u
CIN v pass 11......v run 13........v rec 11
BAL v pass 19......v run 11.......v rec 19
Again, no excitement here. AJ and Eifert get targets.
Cash plays: Eifert
GPP:
OAK @ CLE.......CLE -4.5........41.5u
OAK v pass 30......v run 20....... v rec 30
CLE v pass 9.........v run 32.......v rec 9
Looking at matchups, CLE receivers would be great, if there were any. Can run on CLE, so fire up LMurray. CLE D may be sneaky with big lead and OAK traveling east in low o/u game.
Cash plays: TBenjamin, LMurray, CLE DST
GPP: Manziel
IND @ TEN.......IND -5.........47.5u
IND v pass13.....v run 22.........v rec 10
TEN v pass 4.......v run 15........v rec 4
IND and Co may have their hands full getting this one covered.
Cash: Sankey?
GPP: Mariota, Wright
ATL @ DAL........pk........44u
ATL v pass 29......v run 9.........v rec 29
DAL v pass 6.......v run 1.........v rec 6
Can't see DAL hanging with ATL here after Romo/Dez both go down and running game isn't worth squat, unless passing to RBs. However, if bu QB can find receivers, ATL is vulnerable.
Cash plays: FREEMAN, Julio, TWilliams, Beasley
GPP: Wheadon, Ryan, Dunbar
SF @ ARZ......ARZ -6......44u
SF v pass 27......v run 6......v rec 27
ARZ v pass 26.....v run 10......v rec 26
How is this not a shootout? Because SF can't throw? Seems SF receivers will be in play with trying to catch up late. Palmer and ARZ receivers in play. ARZ DST possible, too.
Cash plays: Boldin, PALMER, Fitzgerald, JBrown
GPP: Kaepernick, Torrey Smith
CHI @ SEA........no line yet
CHI v pass 4............v run 22..........v rec 2
SEA v pass 21.........v run 15...........v rec 21
Cash plays: Forte, Lynch, Wilson,
BUF @ MIA.......MIA -2.5.......43.5u
BUF v pass 31.......v run 2........v rec 31
MIA v pass 17.......v run 26......v rec 17
Looks like BUF will run and MIA will throw. Landry seems to be possession WR, so look for him late to move the chains. Tyrod may get to run a bit here.
Cash plays: Tannehill, LANDRY, Tyrod,
GPP: Shady
DEN @ DET......DEN -2.5......45.5u
DEN v pass 1.......v run 18.......v rec 1
DET v pass 22.....v run 27.......v rec 22
Looks to be good matchup for Peyton and receivers.
Cash plays: Peyton, DThom, SANDERS, DEN
KCC @ GBP.....GBP -6.5......48u
KCC v pass 24......v run 8........v rec 24
GBP v pass 8.........v run 31......v rec 8
Highest scoring game on the board is MNF. So, throwing with GBP and running with KCC? Talk about playing into a team's strengths. Fire up Rodgers and his army along with Charles!
Cash: Rodgers, Cobb, Charles, Kelce
GPP:
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